Betting the Birds: Eagles Super Bowl odds have been slashed over the past month

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Around this time last month, we took a look at some of the NFL Futures markets to see how Vegas viewed the Eagles after a transformative NFL Draft. With OTA’s now underway, it’s time to revisit some of those markets to see if the betting markets are bullish or bearish when it comes to Sirianni’s flock.

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  • MVP: Jalen Hurts (+2500)

    Before: +3000

    Jalen Hurts has seen his MVP odds slashed over the past few weeks. He actually ranks 13th in this market, which is fascinating in itself. For a QB who many consider to be some way off the upper echelon of NFL arms, he has the 13th best MVP odds. That says a lot about how quick the needle has moved and the level of talent he’s now surrounded by.

    It’s hard to see this number going north over the next few months as the season draws closer and the public hype builds. If you want to bet on the success of Hurts, there may be no better time than now.

    NFC East Winners: (+200)

    Before: +250

    The odds have also been slashed in the NFC East winner’s market. This makes sense. The Eagles have landed James Bradberry between the publishing of the last article and now, and his presence alone completely changes the picture on defense.

    The Eagles are firmly in second when it comes to the betting odds and that probably won’t change until September barring any injuries/trades to any of the teams within the division between now and week one. The number may change, but not by much.

    Super Bowl winners (+2800)

    Before: +4000

    Wow. The Eagles’ Super Bowl line is now 30% more expensive than it was a month ago. That is genuinely hard to fathom. There’s clearly a lot of public hype surrounding the Eagles and while the Bradberry signing would’ve helped expedite the process, this is such a sharp rise. If you plan on betting the Eagles to win it all, doing it sooner rather than later could prove to be very valuable if this trend continues.

    Most receiving yards

    A.J Brown +3500
    DeVonta Smith +7500

    There’s been no change here despite the rise in Jalen’s MVP odds. The sentiment appears to be centered around the QB and not necessarily the entire offense, which is even more interesting.

    I find it really interesting that Smitty is more than double the odds of A.J Brown. I can’t really see either of them being the NFL’s top receiver due to the fact that both are going to demand a lot of passes from Hurts. It’s more of a complementary partnership than a 1-2 tandem. DeVonta Smith, who broke the Eagles rookie receiving record last year, definitely has the most value though.

    Defensive rookie of the year

    The odds on Jordan Davis remain the same at +1600, but Nakobe Dean was +2000 last month. He’s now +1400, more expensive than Davis, who is a first-round pick. Dean is absolutely better positioned to win the award due to type of production he can put up in comparison to a monstrous DT whose talents don’t really correlate with pass-rushing stat-lines that jump off the screen.

    The trend on Dean might well be due to the confidence the Eagles have expressed in his ability to play this year. There was a lot of concern going into the Draft that his injuries would leave him sidelined for a substantial amount of time, but when Howie doubled down, it’s easy to see why bettors would too.

    Photo by Andy Lewis/Icon Sportswire

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